BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCO→ORF

Orlando, FL (MCO) to Norfolk, VA (ORF) flight delay odds

70.4% of 808 official scheduled MCO-to-ORF flights arrived on time; 17.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.1% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
70.4%arrived on time
17.1%30+ min late
3.1%cancelled
808scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+11.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MCO to ORF?

Among qualifying MCO-to-ORF departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 89.2% of 102 flights. Evening was lowest at 51.6% across 256 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning10289.2%6.9%1.0%
Late morning17082.9%7.6%0.6%
Afternoon26875.0%14.6%1.1%
Evening25651.6%28.1%7.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for MCO to ORF?

Among qualifying MCO-to-ORF weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 81.6% of 87 flights. Monday was lowest at 62.4% across 109 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday10962.4%22.9%3.7%
Tuesday8481.0%11.9%1.2%
Wednesday8781.6%11.5%1.1%
Thursday14077.1%12.1%0.7%
Friday11366.4%18.6%2.7%
Saturday12964.3%18.6%5.4%
Sunday14665.8%21.2%5.5%

Which airline was most reliable for MCO to ORF?

Among qualifying MCO-to-ORF airline results, Frontier Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 80.8% of 182 flights. Spirit Airlines was lowest at 56.1% across 244 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines38274.6%12.6%1.3%
Spirit Airlines24456.1%29.1%7.0%
Frontier Airlines18280.8%10.4%1.6%

Which month was most reliable for MCO to ORF?

Among qualifying MCO-to-ORF month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 93.5% of 62 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 46.2% across 78 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20257268.1%16.7%1.4%
August 20257368.5%21.9%0.0%
September 20256293.5%1.6%0.0%
October 20255884.5%12.1%0.0%
November 20256979.7%11.6%1.4%
December 20256674.2%13.6%1.5%
January 20266863.2%17.6%7.4%
February 20266870.6%13.2%8.8%
March 20267846.2%34.6%9.0%
April 20267973.4%16.5%0.0%
May 20265362.3%18.9%3.8%
June 20266266.1%22.6%3.2%

What drove MCO to ORF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MCO-to-ORF delay category, accounting for 36.8% of 12,510 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline33.5%
Late aircraft36.8%
National airspace22.1%
Weather7.3%
Security0.4%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.