BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCOMSY

Orlando, FL (MCO) to New Orleans, LA (MSY) flight delay odds

Historically, 73.5% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,278 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
73.5%arrived on time
17.3%30+ min late
1.0%cancelled
2,278scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+9.7 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning40892.9%3.9%0.0%
Late morning44484.5%9.2%0.0%
Afternoon51274.0%16.8%0.4%
Evening61859.7%25.9%1.9%
Night29658.4%30.7%2.7%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday36673.5%15.0%1.4%
Tuesday28882.3%10.8%0.3%
Wednesday27879.5%14.4%0.0%
Thursday34074.7%14.4%0.3%
Friday36573.7%19.7%0.5%
Saturday27971.0%18.3%1.8%
Sunday36262.7%26.5%2.2%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,59373.5%16.8%0.4%
Spirit Airlines51771.0%19.7%2.7%
Frontier Airlines16881.5%14.9%1.2%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202522168.8%23.5%0.0%
August 202515569.7%23.2%0.0%
September 202514287.3%5.6%0.0%
October 202521675.5%16.2%0.5%
November 202519478.9%12.9%0.0%
December 202518470.1%19.0%1.1%
January 202619769.0%17.8%2.0%
February 202621277.4%15.6%1.4%
March 202618868.1%19.1%4.3%
April 202620281.7%11.9%0.5%
May 202617869.7%18.0%1.1%
June 202618968.3%22.8%0.5%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline30.7%
Late aircraft42.8%
National airspace18.5%
Weather7.2%
Security0.9%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.