BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCOLAX

Orlando, FL (MCO) to Los Angeles, CA (LAX) flight delay odds

Historically, 79.7% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 3,489 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
79.7%arrived on time
12.5%30+ min late
0.6%cancelled
3,489scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.8 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,17990.2%5.6%0.3%
Late morning55786.7%6.6%0.7%
Afternoon62175.8%13.5%0.3%
Evening1,13267.5%22.1%1.1%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday52076.2%14.2%1.0%
Tuesday46184.8%8.2%0.7%
Wednesday48486.6%8.5%0.2%
Thursday51380.3%11.5%0.0%
Friday51679.7%12.4%0.2%
Saturday47877.0%13.6%1.0%
Sunday51774.3%18.6%1.2%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,38382.6%10.4%1.2%
United Airlines83486.9%7.4%0.1%
American Airlines73573.1%18.9%0.3%
Southwest Airlines33063.9%20.9%0.3%
Frontier Airlines20780.2%11.1%0.5%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202527265.4%26.5%0.4%
August 202528968.2%21.1%0.0%
September 202525583.9%7.5%0.0%
October 202528179.7%11.7%0.0%
November 202526884.3%9.3%0.0%
December 202530984.8%8.4%1.3%
January 202630381.8%9.9%1.7%
February 202626982.2%10.0%0.0%
March 202630980.9%11.7%2.3%
April 202632183.5%9.0%0.3%
May 202631782.0%12.0%0.3%
June 202629678.7%13.9%0.7%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline41.2%
Late aircraft31.1%
National airspace13.3%
Weather14.2%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.