BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCO→JFK

Orlando, FL (MCO) to New York, NY (JFK) flight delay odds

71.8% of 4,899 official scheduled MCO-to-JFK flights arrived on time; 18.5% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.9% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
71.8%arrived on time
18.5%30+ min late
2.9%cancelled
4,899scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+13.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MCO to JFK?

Among qualifying MCO-to-JFK departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 89.1% of 1,482 flights. Night was lowest at 42.5% across 113 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,48289.1%5.2%2.0%
Late morning97477.4%12.7%2.5%
Afternoon1,14165.4%23.3%3.9%
Evening1,18954.4%32.7%3.4%
Night11342.5%43.4%2.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for MCO to JFK?

Among qualifying MCO-to-JFK weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 77.4% of 690 flights. Sunday was lowest at 60.9% across 717 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday70865.4%21.0%5.8%
Tuesday69077.4%15.5%1.9%
Wednesday67976.9%15.2%1.3%
Thursday70974.6%18.9%1.4%
Friday70274.5%16.2%1.7%
Saturday69473.2%18.6%1.6%
Sunday71760.9%23.6%6.6%

Which airline was most reliable for MCO to JFK?

Among qualifying MCO-to-JFK airline results, Frontier Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 85.0% of 294 flights. JetBlue Airways was lowest at 67.4% across 2,625 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
JetBlue Airways2,62567.4%22.0%3.1%
Delta Air Lines1,98075.7%15.3%2.9%
Frontier Airlines29485.0%8.2%1.4%

Which month was most reliable for MCO to JFK?

Among qualifying MCO-to-JFK month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 86.1% of 346 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 51.3% across 433 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202543351.3%35.6%6.7%
August 202543465.7%26.3%1.4%
September 202534686.1%9.5%0.3%
October 202537376.1%16.9%1.1%
November 202542079.5%11.2%3.1%
December 202544664.3%22.4%2.9%
January 202637568.8%17.1%6.1%
February 202637566.4%18.7%7.7%
March 202644371.1%16.0%4.3%
April 202648277.6%14.7%0.0%
May 202639983.5%11.0%0.5%
June 202637374.3%19.8%1.1%

What drove MCO to JFK delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MCO-to-JFK delay category, accounting for 35.9% of 101,747 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline26.4%
Late aircraft35.9%
National airspace32.7%
Weather4.6%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.