BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCODCA

Orlando, FL (MCO) to Washington, DC (DCA) flight delay odds

Historically, 67.2% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 4,586 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
67.2%arrived on time
21.1%30+ min late
2.0%cancelled
4,586scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late12.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+18.5 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning71289.2%5.3%1.4%
Late morning1,04579.8%11.3%1.1%
Afternoon1,44258.9%26.3%1.6%
Evening1,07654.0%31.7%3.6%
Night31158.5%29.9%2.9%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday66662.8%20.4%3.5%
Tuesday65675.6%14.5%1.2%
Wednesday64272.4%17.6%1.4%
Thursday65567.5%20.6%1.2%
Friday66364.4%26.5%1.1%
Saturday64068.9%21.9%1.2%
Sunday66459.2%26.2%4.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines1,81867.8%21.8%2.2%
Southwest Airlines1,09766.9%20.1%1.2%
JetBlue Airways94263.3%23.5%1.4%
Delta Air Lines71370.7%18.1%3.8%
Republic Airways1693.8%6.2%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202539452.3%33.8%3.6%
August 202538658.0%31.3%1.3%
September 202535976.3%15.0%0.3%
October 202539774.3%17.1%0.3%
November 202537268.0%19.9%3.5%
December 202541168.1%21.4%0.5%
January 202637964.6%19.8%6.9%
February 202634358.0%24.5%1.5%
March 202638062.4%22.1%3.9%
April 202638375.7%17.0%0.0%
May 202639576.5%12.9%0.8%
June 202638771.6%18.6%2.1%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline22.1%
Late aircraft46.1%
National airspace25.6%
Weather6.1%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.