BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCOBHM

Orlando, FL (MCO) to Birmingham, AL (BHM) flight delay odds

Historically, 68.6% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 850 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
68.6%arrived on time
18.2%30+ min late
0.7%cancelled
850scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+15.1 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning22389.7%4.9%0.0%
Late morning10382.5%5.8%0.0%
Afternoon18365.0%20.8%1.6%
Evening25556.5%25.1%0.8%
Night8640.7%41.9%1.2%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday11963.0%20.2%0.8%
Tuesday10973.4%13.8%0.9%
Wednesday10681.1%7.5%0.9%
Thursday11867.8%18.6%0.0%
Friday12269.7%18.9%0.0%
Saturday13563.7%23.0%2.2%
Sunday14164.5%22.7%0.0%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines85068.6%18.2%0.7%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20257055.7%30.0%1.4%
August 20254452.3%38.6%0.0%
September 20253894.7%0.0%0.0%
October 20258265.9%19.5%0.0%
November 20258067.5%20.0%1.2%
December 20258166.7%16.0%0.0%
January 20266773.1%14.9%0.0%
February 20265763.2%22.8%0.0%
March 20267964.6%24.1%2.5%
April 20268883.0%9.1%0.0%
May 20269375.3%8.6%0.0%
June 20267162.0%19.7%2.8%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline31.8%
Late aircraft52.7%
National airspace11.8%
Weather3.3%
Security0.4%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.