BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCITPA

Kansas City, MO (MCI) to Tampa, FL (TPA) flight delay odds

Historically, 76.3% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 672 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
76.3%arrived on time
13.4%30+ min late
0.3%cancelled
672scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.6 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning25791.4%2.7%0.0%
Afternoon11777.8%12.0%0.0%
Evening26162.8%22.2%0.8%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday9277.2%17.4%1.1%
Tuesday8377.1%9.6%0.0%
Wednesday7876.9%14.1%0.0%
Thursday9176.9%14.3%0.0%
Friday9283.7%9.8%0.0%
Saturday13275.0%13.6%0.0%
Sunday10469.2%14.4%1.0%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines64576.1%13.3%0.3%
Frontier Airlines2781.5%14.8%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20256163.9%24.6%0.0%
August 20253966.7%12.8%0.0%
September 20253470.6%14.7%0.0%
October 20256385.7%4.8%0.0%
November 20255784.2%10.5%0.0%
December 20255366.0%18.9%0.0%
January 20264985.7%6.1%0.0%
February 20265082.0%14.0%0.0%
March 20267478.4%10.8%2.7%
April 20266583.1%13.8%0.0%
May 20266771.6%16.4%0.0%
June 20266073.3%13.3%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline17.0%
Late aircraft68.9%
National airspace11.5%
Weather2.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.