BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCIORD

Kansas City, MO (MCI) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

Historically, 72.5% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 4,148 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
72.5%arrived on time
17.8%30+ min late
2.8%cancelled
4,148scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+17.6 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,03481.7%10.3%2.2%
Late morning1,05179.7%14.0%1.6%
Afternoon1,21967.8%21.7%2.5%
Evening84259.0%26.0%5.5%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday62767.8%21.9%3.3%
Tuesday58777.7%15.2%1.5%
Wednesday57176.5%14.0%2.3%
Thursday61275.8%15.4%3.3%
Friday61372.6%17.5%3.1%
Saturday52572.2%16.0%3.4%
Sunday61365.4%24.0%2.6%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines1,43474.8%15.1%2.0%
SkyWest Airlines94366.9%23.0%3.7%
Envoy Air81970.9%17.6%3.7%
Republic Airways57080.5%14.2%1.6%
American Airlines34271.3%19.9%2.9%
PSA Airlines4047.5%30.0%7.5%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202534262.6%22.2%4.4%
August 202531377.0%14.4%1.6%
September 202530178.4%12.0%0.3%
October 202534975.1%14.0%0.0%
November 202534871.6%17.5%5.5%
December 202531263.8%27.6%1.9%
January 202627870.1%21.6%2.2%
February 202633480.8%12.9%0.6%
March 202637767.9%19.1%6.9%
April 202640670.4%20.4%3.7%
May 202641378.5%14.5%1.2%
June 202637573.3%17.9%4.3%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline23.4%
Late aircraft37.2%
National airspace29.6%
Weather9.7%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.