BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
LGA→XNA

New York, NY (LGA) to Fayetteville, AR (XNA) flight delay odds

Historically, 70.3% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 875 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
70.3%arrived on time
16.3%30+ min late
4.7%cancelled
875scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted1.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+6.1 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning20783.6%8.2%1.9%
Late morning9169.2%12.1%5.5%
Afternoon29074.1%14.1%3.1%
Evening28657.0%25.9%8.0%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday14569.7%15.2%7.6%
Tuesday14872.3%16.9%4.7%
Wednesday14373.4%13.3%3.5%
Thursday14166.0%19.9%4.3%
Friday12274.6%13.9%3.3%
Saturday5172.5%7.8%2.0%
Sunday12564.8%22.4%5.6%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways87570.3%16.3%4.7%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20255750.9%28.1%12.3%
August 20255780.7%7.0%3.5%
September 20257686.8%6.6%1.3%
October 20258179.0%13.6%2.5%
November 20257061.4%20.0%5.7%
December 20257447.3%35.1%2.7%
January 20267468.9%14.9%10.8%
February 20267275.0%12.5%8.3%
March 20268163.0%17.3%8.6%
April 20267880.8%10.3%0.0%
May 20267775.3%15.6%1.3%
June 20267870.5%16.7%1.3%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline18.3%
Late aircraft46.2%
National airspace27.1%
Weather8.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.