BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
LGAMSP

New York, NY (LGA) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

Historically, 81.3% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,889 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
81.3%arrived on time
11.5%30+ min late
2.5%cancelled
1,889scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+0.7 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning72290.3%4.6%2.9%
Late morning36983.2%9.2%2.4%
Afternoon40975.3%16.6%1.2%
Evening38969.2%21.3%3.1%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday28378.1%13.8%4.9%
Tuesday28880.9%12.2%2.1%
Wednesday27984.6%10.8%1.1%
Thursday27081.1%11.9%1.9%
Friday27185.6%9.6%1.1%
Saturday22885.1%7.5%1.3%
Sunday27074.4%14.4%4.8%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,80681.2%11.6%2.4%
Republic Airways8384.3%9.6%4.8%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202519577.4%15.4%3.1%
August 202518490.8%5.4%2.2%
September 202515094.0%4.0%0.0%
October 202515180.8%12.6%1.3%
November 202514373.4%18.9%0.0%
December 202515069.3%22.0%3.3%
January 202615080.7%9.3%4.7%
February 202613982.7%7.9%7.2%
March 202615172.8%9.3%8.6%
April 202614885.8%10.1%0.0%
May 202617780.8%13.0%0.0%
June 202615186.1%10.6%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline39.4%
Late aircraft26.1%
National airspace30.3%
Weather1.0%
Security3.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.