BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
LGAJAX

New York, NY (LGA) to Jacksonville, FL (JAX) flight delay odds

Historically, 69.7% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 561 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
69.7%arrived on time
18.5%30+ min late
4.3%cancelled
561scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.8 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning14978.5%10.1%4.0%
Afternoon18577.3%14.1%2.7%
Evening20755.6%29.5%5.8%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday7368.5%12.3%8.2%
Tuesday7277.8%15.3%4.2%
Wednesday6975.4%14.5%4.3%
Thursday7464.9%18.9%4.1%
Friday9666.7%24.0%3.1%
Saturday9878.6%12.2%2.0%
Sunday7955.7%31.6%5.1%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways45269.9%17.9%4.0%
Delta Air Lines10968.8%21.1%5.5%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 2025475.0%25.0%0.0%
August 2025250.0%0.0%0.0%
September 20252176.2%19.0%0.0%
October 20253661.1%27.8%5.6%
November 20255366.0%22.6%1.9%
December 20257764.9%23.4%5.2%
January 20263470.6%14.7%5.9%
February 20264971.4%16.3%8.2%
March 20266963.8%20.3%10.1%
April 20267376.7%11.0%0.0%
May 20267272.2%20.8%0.0%
June 20267174.6%12.7%5.6%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline33.6%
Late aircraft39.0%
National airspace26.4%
Weather1.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.