BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
LAXTPA

Los Angeles, CA (LAX) to Tampa, FL (TPA) flight delay odds

Historically, 78.9% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,191 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
78.9%arrived on time
9.7%30+ min late
0.9%cancelled
1,191scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.5 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning7678.9%7.9%0.0%
Late morning61580.5%9.1%1.1%
Afternoon6051.7%20.0%0.0%
Night44080.5%9.3%0.9%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday17979.9%10.1%1.1%
Tuesday17079.4%8.8%0.6%
Wednesday16683.1%8.4%0.6%
Thursday18277.5%8.8%0.5%
Friday17774.6%13.6%1.1%
Saturday13483.6%7.5%1.5%
Sunday18376.0%9.8%1.1%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines65977.4%10.5%1.5%
United Airlines38988.7%6.4%0.3%
Southwest Airlines14359.4%14.7%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258578.8%16.5%1.2%
August 20258789.7%4.6%1.1%
September 20258495.2%3.6%0.0%
October 20259292.4%2.2%0.0%
November 202510573.3%13.3%1.0%
December 202510766.4%22.4%0.9%
January 202610484.6%5.8%1.0%
February 20269984.8%6.1%1.0%
March 202611866.1%10.2%2.5%
April 202612084.2%5.8%0.0%
May 202610770.1%11.2%1.9%
June 20268367.5%13.3%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline48.1%
Late aircraft30.3%
National airspace20.2%
Weather0.9%
Security0.5%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.