BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
JFKSFO

New York, NY (JFK) to San Francisco, CA (SFO) flight delay odds

Historically, 72.6% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 6,730 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
72.6%arrived on time
16.9%30+ min late
1.9%cancelled
6,730scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.2 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,59082.8%7.5%1.8%
Late morning1,33676.9%13.6%1.6%
Afternoon1,37973.1%17.3%1.8%
Evening2,07362.8%25.2%2.0%
Night35265.6%21.9%3.7%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday1,01268.0%20.2%3.5%
Tuesday96379.5%11.5%2.4%
Wednesday94076.2%15.1%0.4%
Thursday99768.9%20.6%1.0%
Friday1,00675.0%15.5%0.9%
Saturday80373.7%14.6%1.6%
Sunday1,00967.4%20.3%3.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines2,22970.1%19.0%1.5%
JetBlue Airways1,94575.1%15.9%2.0%
American Airlines1,44875.1%14.2%2.6%
Alaska Airlines1,10869.9%18.1%1.8%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202558269.8%21.8%3.3%
August 202559184.1%11.2%0.2%
September 202557985.3%10.5%0.3%
October 202561171.7%18.0%0.5%
November 202554674.5%13.9%0.9%
December 202553762.9%23.8%2.8%
January 202653971.4%14.3%5.9%
February 202646571.2%14.4%8.2%
March 202653380.7%12.2%0.9%
April 202654370.5%16.4%0.0%
May 202659368.6%19.6%0.5%
June 202661160.2%25.9%1.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline27.5%
Late aircraft27.1%
National airspace42.2%
Weather2.9%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.