BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
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JFK→ORF

New York, NY (JFK) to Norfolk, VA (ORF) flight delay odds

81.4% of 731 official scheduled JFK-to-ORF flights arrived on time; 10.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 4.4% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
81.4%arrived on time
10.1%30+ min late
4.4%cancelled
731scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-1.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for JFK to ORF?

Among qualifying JFK-to-ORF departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 89.3% of 309 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 76.6% across 402 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning30989.3%6.8%2.3%
Afternoon40276.6%12.2%5.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for JFK to ORF?

Among qualifying JFK-to-ORF weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 86.8% of 106 flights. Monday was lowest at 76.9% across 104 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday10476.9%9.6%8.7%
Tuesday10686.8%8.5%3.8%
Wednesday10284.3%7.8%2.0%
Thursday10081.0%14.0%2.0%
Friday10481.7%11.5%1.9%
Saturday11080.0%10.0%4.5%
Sunday10579.0%9.5%7.6%

Which airline was most reliable for JFK to ORF?

Only Republic Airways met the JFK-to-ORF airline threshold: 81.4% of 731 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways73181.4%10.1%4.4%

Which month was most reliable for JFK to ORF?

Among qualifying JFK-to-ORF month results, April 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 96.6% of 59 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 64.0% across 75 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20256272.6%14.5%8.1%
August 20256288.7%6.5%0.0%
September 20256088.3%6.7%1.7%
October 20256288.7%6.5%0.0%
November 20256083.3%5.0%8.3%
December 20257564.0%25.3%2.7%
January 20266779.1%7.5%10.4%
February 20265775.4%7.0%10.5%
March 20266283.9%12.9%1.6%
April 20265996.6%1.7%0.0%
May 20265192.2%3.9%2.0%
June 20265468.5%20.4%7.4%

What drove JFK to ORF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded JFK-to-ORF delay category, accounting for 56.9% of 6,789 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline22.2%
Late aircraft56.9%
National airspace20.5%
Weather0.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.