BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
JFKMSY

New York, NY (JFK) to New Orleans, LA (MSY) flight delay odds

Historically, 77.9% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,142 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
77.9%arrived on time
12.9%30+ min late
4.5%cancelled
1,142scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+0.1 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning54782.1%9.1%4.9%
Late morning8682.6%10.5%2.3%
Afternoon49373.6%16.8%3.9%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday16577.6%13.3%6.1%
Tuesday15581.3%12.3%3.9%
Wednesday15285.5%9.9%1.3%
Thursday16573.9%15.8%3.6%
Friday16881.5%9.5%3.6%
Saturday16879.2%11.3%4.8%
Sunday16967.5%17.8%7.7%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines72079.4%10.8%5.0%
JetBlue Airways41576.1%15.7%3.6%
Frontier Airlines728.6%57.1%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259271.7%15.2%6.5%
August 20259383.9%9.7%4.3%
September 20258287.8%9.8%0.0%
October 202511785.5%6.8%1.7%
November 202510781.3%13.1%3.7%
December 202510562.9%20.0%7.6%
January 20268466.7%20.2%8.3%
February 20269963.6%16.2%12.1%
March 20269382.8%14.0%1.1%
April 20268991.0%6.7%1.1%
May 20269279.3%9.8%4.3%
June 20268979.8%13.5%2.2%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline44.5%
Late aircraft27.2%
National airspace22.0%
Weather6.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.