BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
HPN→DCA

White Plains, NY (HPN) to Washington, DC (DCA) flight delay odds

Historically, 58.7% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,359 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
58.7%arrived on time
25.5%30+ min late
6.1%cancelled
1,359scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late14.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late8.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+30.5 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning36175.3%13.6%4.7%
Late morning35862.8%22.6%5.3%
Afternoon32843.9%36.9%6.7%
Evening31250.3%30.8%8.0%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday20856.7%26.4%8.2%
Tuesday20363.5%21.2%5.9%
Wednesday19456.7%24.7%5.7%
Thursday20256.9%30.2%3.0%
Friday20758.5%26.6%4.8%
Saturday13767.2%19.0%7.3%
Sunday20854.3%28.4%8.2%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
PSA Airlines1,35958.7%25.5%6.1%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511553.9%27.8%12.2%
August 202511478.9%16.7%0.9%
September 202511267.9%19.6%0.9%
October 202511969.7%18.5%0.0%
November 202511348.7%33.6%5.3%
December 202511737.6%41.9%7.7%
January 202612457.3%22.6%12.1%
February 202610648.1%30.2%12.3%
March 202611657.8%25.9%5.2%
April 202611561.7%25.2%1.7%
May 202610364.1%21.4%4.9%
June 202610559.0%22.9%10.5%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline18.9%
Late aircraft55.4%
National airspace21.5%
Weather4.1%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.