BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
HOUBNA

Houston, TX (HOU) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

Historically, 77.2% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,801 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
77.2%arrived on time
12.0%30+ min late
0.6%cancelled
1,801scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.1 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning53291.2%3.0%0.6%
Late morning19184.3%8.9%1.0%
Afternoon61171.4%14.4%0.3%
Evening40565.4%21.0%0.7%
Night6269.4%16.1%1.6%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday27275.7%10.3%0.0%
Tuesday24685.0%7.7%0.0%
Wednesday24279.8%10.3%0.0%
Thursday26672.9%13.5%0.4%
Friday26574.3%15.5%0.4%
Saturday22877.6%14.5%1.8%
Sunday28275.9%12.1%1.8%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,80177.2%12.0%0.6%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202514967.8%18.1%0.7%
August 202514573.1%14.5%0.0%
September 202513885.5%8.0%0.0%
October 202515476.0%12.3%0.0%
November 202516879.2%11.9%0.0%
December 202516287.7%5.6%0.0%
January 202613686.0%5.1%5.1%
February 202613987.1%5.8%0.0%
March 202616570.3%15.8%1.2%
April 202615080.0%13.3%0.0%
May 202615271.1%13.2%0.7%
June 202614363.6%19.6%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline34.3%
Late aircraft43.5%
National airspace18.5%
Weather3.5%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.