BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
HNLLAX

Honolulu, HI (HNL) to Los Angeles, CA (LAX) flight delay odds

Historically, 80.6% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 5,458 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
80.6%arrived on time
10.5%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
5,458scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.3 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,19184.8%7.8%0.6%
Late morning27977.1%15.8%0.0%
Afternoon1,88874.3%13.3%0.3%
Evening37885.7%6.3%1.3%
Night1,72284.1%9.3%0.6%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday78379.3%11.2%0.1%
Tuesday78182.2%8.2%0.6%
Wednesday76883.7%9.5%0.5%
Thursday74881.6%9.4%0.7%
Friday78479.0%12.4%0.4%
Saturday80281.5%10.3%0.7%
Sunday79277.3%12.2%0.6%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines1,26886.9%8.4%0.5%
American Airlines1,18384.4%9.6%0.1%
Delta Air Lines1,09587.7%6.5%0.6%
Alaska Airlines77663.8%17.7%0.4%
Hawaiian Airlines61962.2%19.2%1.3%
Southwest Airlines51789.0%4.8%0.8%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202554781.5%9.3%1.1%
August 202546083.9%9.3%0.2%
September 202538690.2%6.0%0.0%
October 202538985.3%9.0%0.3%
November 202540777.6%11.8%0.5%
December 202549075.9%13.7%1.6%
January 202642679.3%12.4%0.5%
February 202635985.0%7.8%0.0%
March 202646067.0%17.4%0.4%
April 202646686.7%6.7%0.4%
May 202650679.1%10.5%1.0%
June 202656279.4%10.7%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline62.9%
Late aircraft24.6%
National airspace9.9%
Weather2.3%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.