BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
FATSAN

Fresno, CA (FAT) to San Diego, CA (SAN) flight delay odds

Historically, 74.8% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,747 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
74.8%arrived on time
14.3%30+ min late
1.3%cancelled
1,747scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.6%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.9 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning64387.4%5.9%1.2%
Late morning31675.0%13.9%0.0%
Afternoon49870.9%16.1%0.8%
Evening29053.4%30.0%3.4%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday26273.3%17.2%0.4%
Tuesday24879.4%9.3%1.2%
Wednesday24080.0%11.2%0.4%
Thursday26771.9%13.5%1.9%
Friday26469.3%19.3%1.5%
Saturday20878.4%11.1%2.4%
Sunday25872.9%17.1%1.2%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines1,23574.9%13.8%1.6%
Southwest Airlines51274.6%15.2%0.4%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202512380.5%10.6%0.8%
August 202511979.0%10.9%0.8%
September 202510782.2%9.3%1.9%
October 202517872.5%15.2%1.1%
November 202517573.7%16.0%1.1%
December 202516368.1%20.2%1.2%
January 202614574.5%11.7%4.1%
February 202612281.1%6.6%2.5%
March 202614475.7%18.8%1.4%
April 202616575.8%14.5%0.0%
May 202616073.1%12.5%0.6%
June 202614667.8%19.9%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline25.7%
Late aircraft36.8%
National airspace31.0%
Weather6.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.