BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
EWR→SMF

Newark, NJ (EWR) to Sacramento, CA (SMF) flight delay odds

67.5% of 283 official scheduled EWR-to-SMF flights arrived on time; 19.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
67.5%arrived on time
19.4%30+ min late
1.8%cancelled
283scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+13.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for EWR to SMF?

Only Evening met the EWR-to-SMF departure window threshold: 67.4% of 282 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Evening28267.4%19.5%1.8%

Which weekday was most reliable for EWR to SMF?

Among qualifying EWR-to-SMF weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 80.5% of 41 flights. Sunday was lowest at 58.5% across 41 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday4168.3%14.6%2.4%
Tuesday4180.5%7.3%0.0%
Wednesday4067.5%25.0%0.0%
Thursday4070.0%12.5%7.5%
Friday4060.0%20.0%2.5%
Saturday4067.5%25.0%0.0%
Sunday4158.5%31.7%0.0%

Which airline was most reliable for EWR to SMF?

Only United Airlines met the EWR-to-SMF airline threshold: 67.5% of 283 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines28367.5%19.4%1.8%

Which month was most reliable for EWR to SMF?

Among qualifying EWR-to-SMF month results, November 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 80.0% of 30 flights. October 2025 was lowest at 45.2% across 31 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253161.3%29.0%6.5%
August 20253167.7%22.6%0.0%
September 20253076.7%13.3%3.3%
October 20253145.2%35.5%0.0%
November 20253080.0%13.3%0.0%
December 20253158.1%12.9%3.2%
April 20263070.0%20.0%0.0%
May 20263177.4%16.1%0.0%
June 20263073.3%13.3%3.3%

What drove EWR to SMF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded EWR-to-SMF delay category, accounting for 41.1% of 6,373 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline31.7%
Late aircraft41.1%
National airspace24.0%
Weather3.1%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.