BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
EWR→RDU

Newark, NJ (EWR) to Raleigh/Durham, NC (RDU) flight delay odds

74.3% of 1,976 official scheduled EWR-to-RDU flights arrived on time; 15.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.1% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
74.3%arrived on time
15.6%30+ min late
3.1%cancelled
1,976scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for EWR to RDU?

Among qualifying EWR-to-RDU departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 89.4% of 376 flights. Night was lowest at 56.8% across 74 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning37689.4%6.6%2.1%
Late morning37778.5%13.3%2.1%
Afternoon79771.1%16.4%4.0%
Evening35264.5%23.3%3.7%
Night7456.8%28.4%1.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for EWR to RDU?

Among qualifying EWR-to-RDU weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 79.6% of 265 flights. Sunday was lowest at 67.7% across 303 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday30069.3%16.3%4.0%
Tuesday27379.5%14.3%2.9%
Wednesday26579.6%11.7%0.8%
Thursday29672.3%15.2%2.7%
Friday29575.9%16.9%1.4%
Saturday24477.5%16.8%2.0%
Sunday30367.7%17.8%7.6%

Which airline was most reliable for EWR to RDU?

Among qualifying EWR-to-RDU airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 90.5% of 241 flights. Spirit Airlines was lowest at 55.0% across 220 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines1,51574.5%16.0%2.3%
Republic Airways24190.5%2.9%3.3%
Spirit Airlines22055.0%26.8%8.6%

Which month was most reliable for EWR to RDU?

Among qualifying EWR-to-RDU month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 86.2% of 174 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 63.7% across 179 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202514467.4%18.1%8.3%
August 202514476.4%19.4%0.0%
September 202514180.1%12.8%1.4%
October 202517067.6%20.6%0.6%
November 202519066.3%21.6%3.2%
December 202517963.7%21.8%3.4%
January 202615572.9%11.0%7.7%
February 202615772.6%12.7%8.9%
March 202617572.6%19.4%0.6%
April 202619784.8%9.1%1.5%
May 202617486.2%5.7%1.1%
June 202615081.3%15.3%2.0%

What drove EWR to RDU delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded EWR-to-RDU delay category, accounting for 47.4% of 31,412 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline26.5%
Late aircraft47.4%
National airspace23.3%
Weather2.8%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.