BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
EWRORF

Newark, NJ (EWR) to Norfolk, VA (ORF) flight delay odds

Historically, 74.1% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 764 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
74.1%arrived on time
13.6%30+ min late
4.5%cancelled
764scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+2.2 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning18280.2%7.7%2.7%
Afternoon16774.3%13.2%6.6%
Evening5669.6%12.5%7.1%
Night32169.2%19.0%3.7%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday11572.2%17.4%7.0%
Tuesday11676.7%9.5%3.4%
Wednesday11378.8%10.6%2.7%
Thursday11274.1%13.4%3.6%
Friday11476.3%11.4%3.5%
Saturday8372.3%13.3%3.6%
Sunday11167.6%19.8%7.2%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways54378.8%9.2%5.0%
United Airlines22162.4%24.4%3.2%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20255437.0%35.2%16.7%
August 20254669.6%23.9%2.2%
September 20253464.7%17.6%2.9%
October 20256870.6%22.1%0.0%
November 20258167.9%12.3%4.9%
December 20257569.3%14.7%6.7%
January 20265680.4%8.9%7.1%
February 20265180.4%7.8%7.8%
March 20265979.7%11.9%1.7%
April 20265589.1%3.6%0.0%
May 20269987.9%6.1%1.0%
June 20268679.1%9.3%4.7%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline20.7%
Late aircraft51.0%
National airspace24.8%
Weather3.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.