BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
EWRMCO

Newark, NJ (EWR) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

Historically, 74.6% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 6,629 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
74.6%arrived on time
15.9%30+ min late
2.9%cancelled
6,629scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.2 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,37488.1%5.5%2.8%
Late morning1,60877.3%12.9%2.5%
Afternoon2,08371.1%18.9%2.3%
Evening1,34864.6%24.1%4.0%
Night21665.7%24.1%4.6%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday96370.4%17.2%4.9%
Tuesday92880.4%10.3%3.1%
Wednesday93181.1%11.7%1.5%
Thursday96176.1%16.2%2.0%
Friday97076.0%15.7%1.2%
Saturday91172.9%19.4%1.9%
Sunday96565.8%20.5%5.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines4,01477.6%14.0%1.8%
JetBlue Airways1,39971.1%18.4%3.7%
Spirit Airlines1,09167.1%20.4%5.9%
Frontier Airlines12583.2%9.6%1.6%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202548162.4%26.4%5.4%
August 202551166.9%24.3%0.8%
September 202549983.6%10.6%1.0%
October 202554070.6%18.7%0.7%
November 202560971.4%16.9%6.1%
December 202560768.7%19.6%1.8%
January 202659974.6%15.7%4.8%
February 202656473.8%13.1%7.8%
March 202665869.6%18.2%3.3%
April 202666284.4%8.6%0.6%
May 202648487.8%8.3%0.4%
June 202641584.1%10.1%0.7%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline21.8%
Late aircraft40.4%
National airspace32.2%
Weather5.3%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.