BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
EWR→MCO

Newark, NJ (EWR) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

74.6% of 6,629 official scheduled EWR-to-MCO flights arrived on time; 15.9% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.9% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
74.6%arrived on time
15.9%30+ min late
2.9%cancelled
6,629scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for EWR to MCO?

Among qualifying EWR-to-MCO departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 88.1% of 1,374 flights. Evening was lowest at 64.6% across 1,348 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,37488.1%5.5%2.8%
Late morning1,60877.3%12.9%2.5%
Afternoon2,08371.1%18.9%2.3%
Evening1,34864.6%24.1%4.0%
Night21665.7%24.1%4.6%

Which weekday was most reliable for EWR to MCO?

Among qualifying EWR-to-MCO weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 81.1% of 931 flights. Sunday was lowest at 65.8% across 965 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday96370.4%17.2%4.9%
Tuesday92880.4%10.3%3.1%
Wednesday93181.1%11.7%1.5%
Thursday96176.1%16.2%2.0%
Friday97076.0%15.7%1.2%
Saturday91172.9%19.4%1.9%
Sunday96565.8%20.5%5.5%

Which airline was most reliable for EWR to MCO?

Among qualifying EWR-to-MCO airline results, Frontier Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 83.2% of 125 flights. Spirit Airlines was lowest at 67.1% across 1,091 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines4,01477.6%14.0%1.8%
JetBlue Airways1,39971.1%18.4%3.7%
Spirit Airlines1,09167.1%20.4%5.9%
Frontier Airlines12583.2%9.6%1.6%

Which month was most reliable for EWR to MCO?

Among qualifying EWR-to-MCO month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 87.8% of 484 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 62.4% across 481 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202548162.4%26.4%5.4%
August 202551166.9%24.3%0.8%
September 202549983.6%10.6%1.0%
October 202554070.6%18.7%0.7%
November 202560971.4%16.9%6.1%
December 202560768.7%19.6%1.8%
January 202659974.6%15.7%4.8%
February 202656473.8%13.1%7.8%
March 202665869.6%18.2%3.3%
April 202666284.4%8.6%0.6%
May 202648487.8%8.3%0.4%
June 202641584.1%10.1%0.7%

What drove EWR to MCO delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded EWR-to-MCO delay category, accounting for 40.4% of 118,593 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline21.8%
Late aircraft40.4%
National airspace32.2%
Weather5.3%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.