BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
DTWMSN

Detroit, MI (DTW) to Madison, WI (MSN) flight delay odds

Historically, 73.5% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 906 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
73.5%arrived on time
18.1%30+ min late
0.9%cancelled
906scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+13.9 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning24075.8%14.6%0.8%
Afternoon36374.7%17.4%0.8%
Evening25368.4%23.3%1.2%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday13770.8%22.6%0.7%
Tuesday13175.6%16.0%0.0%
Wednesday13175.6%13.7%0.8%
Thursday13879.0%14.5%0.7%
Friday14067.1%24.3%2.1%
Saturday9377.4%15.1%0.0%
Sunday13670.6%19.1%1.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines54469.7%21.0%0.7%
Delta Air Lines36079.4%13.9%1.1%
Republic Airways250.0%0.0%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258475.0%17.9%0.0%
August 20258880.7%11.4%0.0%
September 20258785.1%10.3%0.0%
October 202511488.6%7.0%0.0%
November 20256481.2%14.1%0.0%
December 20258950.6%30.3%4.5%
January 20267440.5%44.6%0.0%
February 20269360.2%29.0%0.0%
March 20265170.6%19.6%3.9%
April 20264989.8%4.1%0.0%
May 20265778.9%14.0%3.5%
June 20265687.5%10.7%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline66.2%
Late aircraft9.6%
National airspace9.4%
Weather14.8%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.