BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
DTWJFK

Detroit, MI (DTW) to New York, NY (JFK) flight delay odds

Historically, 80.5% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,223 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
80.5%arrived on time
11.0%30+ min late
2.9%cancelled
1,223scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+2.6 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning37383.1%7.5%3.8%
Late morning22692.0%4.0%1.3%
Afternoon38676.2%14.8%2.8%
Evening6065.0%25.0%5.0%
Night17874.7%14.0%2.2%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday18175.1%11.0%6.6%
Tuesday17882.6%11.8%1.7%
Wednesday16484.1%9.1%1.2%
Thursday17982.1%11.7%1.7%
Friday18184.5%9.9%1.1%
Saturday15581.3%9.7%2.6%
Sunday18574.1%13.0%4.9%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines77879.3%12.2%2.4%
JetBlue Airways44582.5%8.8%3.6%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202512172.7%14.9%5.8%
August 202512487.9%8.9%0.0%
September 202513890.6%5.8%0.0%
October 202515386.9%9.8%0.7%
November 202514580.0%12.4%3.4%
December 20259758.8%20.6%5.2%
January 20266065.0%13.3%6.7%
February 20265271.2%11.5%9.6%
March 20265481.5%7.4%1.9%
April 20265290.4%3.8%0.0%
May 202611087.3%7.3%1.8%
June 202611779.5%13.7%4.3%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline41.3%
Late aircraft12.3%
National airspace39.2%
Weather7.2%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.