BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
DFWBFL

Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (DFW) to Bakersfield, CA (BFL) flight delay odds

Historically, 50.8% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 311 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
50.8%arrived on time
33.8%30+ min late
4.2%cancelled
311scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late24.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late12.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted1.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+57.2 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Evening26653.0%31.2%3.8%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday4450.0%38.6%2.3%
Tuesday4656.5%23.9%4.3%
Wednesday4566.7%22.2%0.0%
Thursday4436.4%47.7%0.0%
Friday4447.7%34.1%6.8%
Saturday4454.5%31.8%6.8%
Sunday4443.2%38.6%9.1%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines31150.8%33.8%4.2%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253132.3%41.9%3.2%
August 20253145.2%38.7%3.2%
September 20253053.3%23.3%6.7%
October 20253154.8%32.3%3.2%
November 20253063.3%26.7%0.0%
December 20253135.5%51.6%0.0%
January 20263148.4%29.0%12.9%
February 202611100.0%0.0%0.0%
April 20262466.7%20.8%0.0%
May 20263164.5%22.6%6.5%
June 20263030.0%60.0%6.7%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline30.4%
Late aircraft49.0%
National airspace3.3%
Weather17.2%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.