BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
DEN→BFL

Denver, CO (DEN) to Bakersfield, CA (BFL) flight delay odds

Historically, 77.4% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 731 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
77.4%arrived on time
12.9%30+ min late
0.3%cancelled
731scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.7%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+10.5 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning36580.8%8.5%0.0%
Evening36474.5%16.8%0.5%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday10476.0%13.5%0.0%
Tuesday10679.2%11.3%0.9%
Wednesday10681.1%11.3%0.0%
Thursday10379.6%10.7%0.0%
Friday10468.3%19.2%1.0%
Saturday10478.8%16.3%0.0%
Sunday10478.8%7.7%0.0%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines69078.4%11.9%0.3%
United Airlines4161.0%29.3%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20256254.8%32.3%1.6%
August 20256259.7%25.8%0.0%
September 20256081.7%10.0%0.0%
October 20256282.3%8.1%0.0%
November 20255993.2%3.4%0.0%
December 20256373.0%17.5%0.0%
January 20266285.5%9.7%0.0%
February 20265676.8%10.7%1.8%
March 20266290.3%6.5%0.0%
April 20266081.7%1.7%0.0%
May 20266388.9%7.9%0.0%
June 20266061.7%20.0%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline33.3%
Late aircraft31.0%
National airspace20.3%
Weather15.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.