BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
DCA→BUF

Washington, DC (DCA) to Buffalo, NY (BUF) flight delay odds

61.4% of 1,162 official scheduled DCA-to-BUF flights arrived on time; 23.2% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 5.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
61.4%arrived on time
23.2%30+ min late
5.2%cancelled
1,162scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late12.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+21.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for DCA to BUF?

Among qualifying DCA-to-BUF departure window results, Evening had the highest on-time rate: 82.9% of 41 flights. Night was lowest at 44.5% across 308 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning36472.8%17.3%2.5%
Afternoon44961.9%25.4%4.0%
Evening4182.9%7.3%7.3%
Night30844.5%29.2%9.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for DCA to BUF?

Among qualifying DCA-to-BUF weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 70.3% of 148 flights. Friday was lowest at 52.4% across 168 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday16965.1%23.1%7.7%
Tuesday17359.0%24.9%4.6%
Wednesday16866.7%16.7%6.0%
Thursday16659.0%21.7%4.2%
Friday16852.4%30.4%4.2%
Saturday14870.3%17.6%3.4%
Sunday17058.8%27.6%5.9%

Which airline was most reliable for DCA to BUF?

Among qualifying DCA-to-BUF airline results, Envoy Air had the highest on-time rate: 62.2% of 164 flights. Republic Airways was lowest at 60.5% across 263 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
PSA Airlines72961.5%24.6%4.8%
Republic Airways26360.5%20.2%5.7%
Envoy Air16462.2%22.6%6.1%
American Airlines683.3%16.7%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for DCA to BUF?

Among qualifying DCA-to-BUF month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 81.0% of 116 flights. February 2026 was lowest at 49.4% across 81 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511955.5%22.7%11.8%
August 202511970.6%16.0%1.7%
September 202511681.0%13.8%0.0%
October 20259675.0%13.5%1.0%
November 20258854.5%28.4%4.5%
December 20258953.9%27.0%6.7%
January 20269349.5%26.9%12.9%
February 20268149.4%37.0%2.5%
March 20268952.8%32.6%4.5%
April 20268971.9%15.7%2.2%
May 20269361.3%23.7%2.2%
June 20269053.3%28.9%12.2%

What drove DCA to BUF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded DCA-to-BUF delay category, accounting for 56.4% of 28,932 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline20.3%
Late aircraft56.4%
National airspace12.9%
Weather10.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.