BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
CHOLGA

Charlottesville, VA (CHO) to New York, NY (LGA) flight delay odds

Historically, 62.2% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 349 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
62.2%arrived on time
21.5%30+ min late
7.2%cancelled
349scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late13.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+15.4 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Afternoon29064.8%19.7%5.9%
Evening4134.1%39.0%19.5%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday5560.0%18.2%12.7%
Tuesday5563.6%29.1%3.6%
Wednesday5265.4%13.5%9.6%
Thursday5060.0%24.0%4.0%
Friday5563.6%18.2%7.3%
Sunday5655.4%25.0%8.9%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways34962.2%21.5%7.2%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20252748.1%22.2%18.5%
August 20252680.8%7.7%3.8%
September 20252676.9%11.5%0.0%
October 20253060.0%23.3%3.3%
November 20253164.5%29.0%6.5%
December 20253855.3%26.3%5.3%
January 20263080.0%10.0%6.7%
February 20262466.7%12.5%12.5%
March 20262725.9%51.9%22.2%
April 20262958.6%20.7%0.0%
May 20263164.5%19.4%3.2%
June 20263066.7%20.0%6.7%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline8.7%
Late aircraft47.1%
National airspace42.3%
Weather1.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.