BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BWI→SMF

Baltimore, MD (BWI) to Sacramento, CA (SMF) flight delay odds

62.4% of 364 official scheduled BWI-to-SMF flights arrived on time; 23.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
62.4%arrived on time
23.4%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
364scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+16.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BWI to SMF?

Among qualifying BWI-to-SMF departure window results, Afternoon had the highest on-time rate: 71.7% of 138 flights. Evening was lowest at 48.8% across 170 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Afternoon13871.7%18.1%0.7%
Evening17048.8%32.4%0.6%

Which weekday was most reliable for BWI to SMF?

Among qualifying BWI-to-SMF weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 67.3% of 52 flights. Monday was lowest at 53.8% across 52 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday5253.8%32.7%0.0%
Tuesday5366.0%24.5%0.0%
Wednesday5267.3%17.3%0.0%
Thursday5158.8%17.6%0.0%
Friday5259.6%25.0%1.9%
Saturday5267.3%25.0%0.0%
Sunday5263.5%21.2%1.9%

Which airline was most reliable for BWI to SMF?

Only Southwest Airlines met the BWI-to-SMF airline threshold: 62.4% of 364 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines36462.4%23.4%0.5%

Which month was most reliable for BWI to SMF?

Among qualifying BWI-to-SMF month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 86.7% of 30 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 45.2% across 31 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253151.6%35.5%0.0%
August 20253171.0%12.9%0.0%
September 20253086.7%6.7%0.0%
October 20253171.0%16.1%0.0%
November 20252962.1%27.6%0.0%
December 20253145.2%41.9%0.0%
January 20263161.3%25.8%3.2%
February 20262860.7%28.6%0.0%
March 20263151.6%29.0%3.2%
April 20263046.7%26.7%0.0%
May 20263167.7%12.9%0.0%
June 20263073.3%16.7%0.0%

What drove BWI to SMF delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded BWI-to-SMF delay category, accounting for 36.4% of 7,208 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline36.4%
Late aircraft33.3%
National airspace22.4%
Weather7.8%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.