BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BWILAX

Baltimore, MD (BWI) to Los Angeles, CA (LAX) flight delay odds

Historically, 73.4% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,727 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
73.4%arrived on time
14.9%30+ min late
1.3%cancelled
1,727scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.1 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning76887.0%5.7%1.7%
Afternoon32361.3%22.6%0.6%
Evening55764.1%21.0%1.1%
Night5949.2%35.6%1.7%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday26372.6%14.8%2.3%
Tuesday23378.5%11.6%0.9%
Wednesday23672.9%15.7%0.8%
Thursday25872.1%17.4%1.2%
Friday26170.1%14.6%0.0%
Saturday22781.5%10.1%0.4%
Sunday24967.1%19.7%3.2%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,04566.3%18.9%1.2%
United Airlines57683.9%8.7%1.2%
Spirit Airlines10685.8%10.4%1.9%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202517668.8%21.0%3.4%
August 202516978.1%13.0%0.6%
September 202516980.5%9.5%0.6%
October 202516478.7%10.4%0.0%
November 202513482.8%14.9%0.0%
December 202512365.9%17.9%0.8%
January 202610771.0%7.5%6.5%
February 202611372.6%13.3%3.5%
March 202614381.1%12.6%0.7%
April 202614170.9%14.9%0.0%
May 202614376.9%14.7%0.7%
June 202614550.3%28.3%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline34.2%
Late aircraft40.3%
National airspace20.4%
Weather4.6%
Security0.6%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.