BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BNA→ORF

Nashville, TN (BNA) to Norfolk, VA (ORF) flight delay odds

Historically, 80.1% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 423 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
80.1%arrived on time
10.6%30+ min late
0.9%cancelled
423scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.0 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning16686.1%6.0%0.6%
Afternoon21678.2%13.0%0.9%
Evening4165.9%17.1%2.4%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday5278.8%15.4%0.0%
Tuesday5388.7%9.4%0.0%
Wednesday5284.6%5.8%0.0%
Thursday5280.8%7.7%0.0%
Friday5280.8%7.7%0.0%
Saturday7485.1%10.8%2.7%
Sunday8868.2%14.8%2.3%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines42380.1%10.6%0.9%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253948.7%43.6%0.0%
August 20253789.2%5.4%0.0%
September 20253497.1%2.9%0.0%
October 20253580.0%5.7%0.0%
November 20253479.4%5.9%0.0%
December 20253393.9%6.1%0.0%
January 20263287.5%3.1%6.2%
February 20262882.1%3.6%0.0%
March 20263557.1%22.9%2.9%
April 20263781.1%5.4%0.0%
May 20264192.7%7.3%0.0%
June 20263876.3%10.5%2.6%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline33.9%
Late aircraft60.4%
National airspace5.7%
Weather0.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.