BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BNA→ORF

Nashville, TN (BNA) to Norfolk, VA (ORF) flight delay odds

80.1% of 423 official scheduled BNA-to-ORF flights arrived on time; 10.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.9% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
80.1%arrived on time
10.6%30+ min late
0.9%cancelled
423scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BNA to ORF?

Among qualifying BNA-to-ORF departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.1% of 166 flights. Evening was lowest at 65.9% across 41 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning16686.1%6.0%0.6%
Afternoon21678.2%13.0%0.9%
Evening4165.9%17.1%2.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for BNA to ORF?

Among qualifying BNA-to-ORF weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 88.7% of 53 flights. Sunday was lowest at 68.2% across 88 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday5278.8%15.4%0.0%
Tuesday5388.7%9.4%0.0%
Wednesday5284.6%5.8%0.0%
Thursday5280.8%7.7%0.0%
Friday5280.8%7.7%0.0%
Saturday7485.1%10.8%2.7%
Sunday8868.2%14.8%2.3%

Which airline was most reliable for BNA to ORF?

Only Southwest Airlines met the BNA-to-ORF airline threshold: 80.1% of 423 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines42380.1%10.6%0.9%

Which month was most reliable for BNA to ORF?

Among qualifying BNA-to-ORF month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 97.1% of 34 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 48.7% across 39 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253948.7%43.6%0.0%
August 20253789.2%5.4%0.0%
September 20253497.1%2.9%0.0%
October 20253580.0%5.7%0.0%
November 20253479.4%5.9%0.0%
December 20253393.9%6.1%0.0%
January 20263287.5%3.1%6.2%
February 20262882.1%3.6%0.0%
March 20263557.1%22.9%2.9%
April 20263781.1%5.4%0.0%
May 20264192.7%7.3%0.0%
June 20263876.3%10.5%2.6%

What drove BNA to ORF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded BNA-to-ORF delay category, accounting for 60.4% of 3,814 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline33.9%
Late aircraft60.4%
National airspace5.7%
Weather0.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.