BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BISAZA

Bismarck/Mandan, ND (BIS) to Phoenix, AZ (AZA) flight delay odds

Historically, 68.8% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 247 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
68.8%arrived on time
21.5%30+ min late
1.2%cancelled
247scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+16.2 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Afternoon9978.8%13.1%2.0%
Evening8470.2%25.0%0.0%
Night5549.1%32.7%1.8%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday5267.3%21.2%1.9%
Wednesday4369.8%25.6%0.0%
Friday5265.4%23.1%0.0%
Saturday4075.0%15.0%2.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Allegiant Air24768.8%21.5%1.2%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20251485.7%7.1%0.0%
August 202510100.0%0.0%0.0%
September 2025988.9%11.1%0.0%
October 20251984.2%10.5%0.0%
November 20252075.0%20.0%0.0%
December 20252560.0%28.0%8.0%
January 20262867.9%32.1%0.0%
February 20262982.8%13.8%0.0%
March 20263767.6%13.5%0.0%
April 20262857.1%28.6%0.0%
May 20261457.1%14.3%0.0%
June 20261414.3%71.4%7.1%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline31.1%
Late aircraft32.3%
National airspace20.0%
Weather13.4%
Security3.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.