BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
AUS→SMF

Austin, TX (AUS) to Sacramento, CA (SMF) flight delay odds

71.9% of 416 official scheduled AUS-to-SMF flights arrived on time; 16.3% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
71.9%arrived on time
16.3%30+ min late
0.2%cancelled
416scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+10.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for AUS to SMF?

Among qualifying AUS-to-SMF departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 80.6% of 62 flights. Evening was lowest at 64.2% across 151 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning6280.6%12.9%1.6%
Afternoon17774.6%13.0%0.0%
Evening15164.2%20.5%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for AUS to SMF?

Among qualifying AUS-to-SMF weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 79.3% of 58 flights. Sunday was lowest at 67.6% across 68 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday5770.2%21.1%0.0%
Tuesday5879.3%8.6%0.0%
Wednesday5768.4%21.1%0.0%
Thursday5773.7%14.0%0.0%
Friday5770.2%14.0%1.8%
Saturday6274.2%11.3%0.0%
Sunday6867.6%23.5%0.0%

Which airline was most reliable for AUS to SMF?

Only Southwest Airlines met the AUS-to-SMF airline threshold: 71.9% of 416 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines41671.9%16.3%0.2%

Which month was most reliable for AUS to SMF?

Among qualifying AUS-to-SMF month results, January 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 87.5% of 32 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 56.7% across 30 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20256267.7%22.6%0.0%
August 20253881.6%13.2%2.6%
September 20253473.5%14.7%0.0%
October 20253568.6%14.3%0.0%
November 20253275.0%18.8%0.0%
December 20253381.8%3.0%0.0%
January 20263287.5%0.0%0.0%
February 20262871.4%17.9%0.0%
March 20263167.7%19.4%0.0%
April 20263066.7%20.0%0.0%
May 20263164.5%22.6%0.0%
June 20263056.7%26.7%0.0%

What drove AUS to SMF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded AUS-to-SMF delay category, accounting for 61.3% of 5,826 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline31.8%
Late aircraft61.3%
National airspace3.3%
Weather1.5%
Security2.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.