BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
AUSMSP

Austin, TX (AUS) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

Historically, 75.7% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,678 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
75.7%arrived on time
14.4%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
1,678scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+11.8 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning37286.6%5.9%2.7%
Late morning39183.4%10.2%0.3%
Afternoon56867.6%20.2%0.4%
Evening34268.7%18.7%0.3%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday25576.9%12.9%1.6%
Tuesday24977.1%11.6%0.4%
Wednesday24080.8%10.8%0.4%
Thursday24973.1%14.5%0.4%
Friday25476.8%15.0%0.0%
Saturday18576.2%15.7%1.1%
Sunday24669.1%20.7%2.0%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,02176.2%14.2%1.3%
Southwest Airlines33666.1%19.0%0.0%
SkyWest Airlines32184.1%10.3%0.3%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202515068.0%19.3%0.7%
August 202514073.6%17.1%0.0%
September 202513388.7%6.8%0.8%
October 202515978.6%13.8%0.0%
November 202513667.6%18.4%1.5%
December 202514769.4%19.7%0.0%
January 202611575.7%13.9%3.5%
February 202612483.1%7.3%0.0%
March 202614569.0%17.9%2.8%
April 202614283.8%12.0%0.0%
May 202614480.6%12.5%0.0%
June 202614372.0%12.6%1.4%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline50.7%
Late aircraft32.6%
National airspace10.8%
Weather5.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.