BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ATL→MSP

Atlanta, GA (ATL) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

80.6% of 3,524 official scheduled ATL-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 10.9% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
80.6%arrived on time
10.9%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
3,524scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ATL to MSP?

Among qualifying ATL-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 89.3% of 804 flights. Evening was lowest at 73.0% across 585 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning80489.3%5.1%0.4%
Late morning53082.1%9.6%0.9%
Afternoon1,19979.2%12.4%0.3%
Evening58573.0%14.5%0.3%
Night40676.8%14.3%0.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for ATL to MSP?

Among qualifying ATL-to-MSP weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 86.0% of 473 flights. Sunday was lowest at 74.5% across 529 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday51777.9%11.2%0.8%
Tuesday49483.4%9.7%0.4%
Wednesday47386.0%6.8%0.0%
Thursday54380.1%10.3%0.0%
Friday51083.3%10.4%0.2%
Saturday45879.9%12.0%0.2%
Sunday52974.5%15.5%1.7%

Which airline was most reliable for ATL to MSP?

Among qualifying ATL-to-MSP airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 81.7% of 3,221 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 62.0% across 179 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines3,22181.7%10.2%0.4%
Frontier Airlines17962.0%23.5%2.2%
Spirit Airlines12479.8%12.1%0.8%

Which month was most reliable for ATL to MSP?

Among qualifying ATL-to-MSP month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 87.8% of 303 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 67.9% across 280 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202530575.1%16.4%0.3%
August 202531780.4%10.7%0.6%
September 202530387.8%5.6%0.0%
October 202532384.8%6.2%0.0%
November 202529084.5%8.3%0.0%
December 202528067.9%20.0%0.0%
January 202627783.8%9.7%0.4%
February 202626381.7%11.4%0.0%
March 202629578.3%11.5%3.7%
April 202628586.0%7.0%0.0%
May 202629878.2%12.4%0.3%
June 202628878.8%12.2%0.3%

What drove ATL to MSP delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded ATL-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 50.3% of 37,278 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline50.3%
Late aircraft26.1%
National airspace17.4%
Weather6.0%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.